Intel · Weekly brief · Free

On-chain intelligence,
from our own node

A weekly on-chain and mempool brief for UAE Bitcoiners, read through an AED lens. Network metrics are calculated from a Bitcoin node we run ourselves; market prices and venue information come from separately identified sources, and each issue records its observation time. No price predictions, no altcoins.

Looking for the paid research? Read the free excerpt of the UAE rails report →

Read it first

Issue #7 · 2026-10-11 · Block 970,925

No premium for the next block

Our node's fee quote is flat at 1 sat/vB across the whole curve — next block included — for the first time since Issue #2, with the weekly median at the floor for a seventh week and the backlog down to 36 vMB. Last week's early −6.09% difficulty read has flipped to +4.21% after the busiest block week in our series, hashrate prints its first reading above 1,000 EH/s, fees fall to a series-low 0.55% of miner revenue, and top-three pool share rises for a fourth week to 64.1%.

Issue #6 · 2026-10-04 · Block 969,839

Six weeks at the floor

The median block fee holds at 1 sat/vB for a sixth week while the backlog grows at the back: at least 85% of a 41-block queue pays under the 1 sat/vB floor, leaving about six blocks ahead of a 1 sat/vB transaction. The projected −1.96% difficulty cut landed at −0.03%, the new −6.09% early read deserves the same scepticism, fees hit a series-high 0.75% of miner revenue, and top-three pool share climbs for a third week to 63.0%.

Issue #4 · 2026-09-20 · Block 967,820

The floor held, the queue behind it quadrupled

Fees hold at 1 sat/vB for a fourth week but the mempool quadruples to 41 blocks deep and one block spikes to 444 sat/vB — the floor is now a queue, not a bargain. Difficulty projected −7.27% for 4 October, the first cut in our series, hashrate off 2.9% into a 4.8% higher price, and top-three pool share above 60% for the first time.

Issue #3 · 2026-09-13 · Block 966,816

Week three on the floor, and the first flicker

Fees hold at 1 sat/vB for a third week but the mempool grows and one block spikes to 56 sat/vB — the consolidation window is still open and has started to narrow. Difficulty projected +4.75% for Saturday, hashrate at 943 EH/s into a 4% lower price, and why a doubled network fee is still a rounding error next to the rail spread.

Issue #2 · 2026-09-06 · Block 965,764

Week two on the floor

Fees hold at 1 sat/vB for a second week while the mempool drains 59% — the consolidation window is open with no queue in front of it. Difficulty resets +1.31% with +5.53% projected, hashrate at 930 EH/s, and why the spread, not the network fee, is what UAE buyers actually pay.

Issue #1 · 2026-09-02 · Block 965,182

The chain is on sale

Fees pinned at 1 sat/vB all week while hashrate holds near record highs — a consolidation window for UAE stackers, and a look at the 0.62% fee share propping up miner revenue.

Research report

The real cost of buying Bitcoin in the UAE

2,271 retained fills from one account's automated buying, 12 May – 2 September 2026. Direct AED pairs ran a median +64 bps over an hourly benchmark; routing through USDT ran +19. Read the free excerpt.

Read the excerpt →

Numbers you can verify yourself

Every on-chain research shop you've heard of buys its data from the same handful of vendors. We don't. This brief is generated from our own full node — bitcoind, an Electrum server, and a mempool instance on hardware we run. That means the numbers are network-level facts you can check against your own node, and our incentive is your understanding, not a data-license upsell. It's the same verify, don't trust principle we apply to custody — applied to research.

In every issue

The week in numbers

Price in USD and AED, fee environment, mempool state, hashrate, difficulty, miner revenue — every figure pulled from our own node, not a data vendor.

The fee & mempool read

What the fee market did and what a long-term holder should do about it: consolidation windows, cheap withdrawal weeks, when to wait.

Mining & network security

Hashrate trend, difficulty outlook, pool concentration, and the security-budget picture — explained, not just charted.

The UAE angle

AED-denominated context, VARA and regulatory developments translated into what they mean for you, and Gulf adoption signals worth knowing about.

Coming · Founding members

The paid tier: intelligence you can act on

The weekly brief is the map. The paid tier — launching after the first free issues — is the operations manual for UAE holders:

Interpreted analysis 1–2x/week — what the data means and what we'd actually do about it
Fee-window alerts: a ping when blockspace is cheap enough to consolidate UTXOs or withdraw to self-custody
AED rails intelligence: measured, all-in costs of buying and withdrawing Bitcoin across UAE exchanges
VARA / tax / CARF changes translated into action within days, not months

Subscribers to the free brief get founding-member pricing first. Subscribe above — that's the whole waitlist.

What this is not

No price predictions or targets — ever.
No trading signals. This is for people building a position over years, not flipping one this week.
No altcoins, no sponsored placements, no reposted vendor charts.
No investment advice — see below.

Bitcoiners.ae Intel is educational and informational content only. Nothing in it is investment, financial, tax, or legal advice, and it is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset. Bitcoin is volatile; never risk money you cannot afford to lose. Do your own research.

Get the weekly brief